WNBA Picks · August 14, 2026

Our model's picks for today's WNBA slate. Career accuracy on WNBA: 70.4% on 226 graded games .

11:30 PM UTC

Dallas Wings @ Indiana Fever

Our pick

Indiana Fever

Model probability

68.3%

Edge vs market

-5.9%

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2:00 AM UTC

Portland Fire @ Seattle Storm

Our pick

Seattle Storm

Model probability

58.0%

Edge vs market

+0.1%

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5:00 PM UTC

New York Liberty @ Connecticut Sun

Our pick

New York Liberty

Model probability

66.7%

Edge vs market

-6.9%

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11:30 PM UTC

Los Angeles Sparks @ Washington Mystics

Our pick

Washington Mystics

Model probability

68.7%

Edge vs market

+0.1%

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How our WNBA model works

Every game gets 200,000 Monte Carlo simulations combining ELO ratings, team season stats, recent form, and matchup-specific features (starting pitcher for MLB, injury reports across all sports). Output probabilities are Platt-calibrated against the most recent 60 days of graded outcomes. Nothing is manual — the same code that produces today's picks below is what produces tomorrow's.

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